Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.028252 0.030306 0.032447 0.034848 0.037470 0.040249 0.043423
2025-07-06 0.025216 0.028192 0.031455 0.035309 0.039756 0.044744 0.050789
2025-07-13 0.022927 0.026431 0.030420 0.035323 0.041226 0.048148 0.056947
2025-07-20 0.021430 0.025329 0.029905 0.035719 0.042972 0.051806 0.063509
2025-07-27 0.019954 0.024073 0.029032 0.035508 0.043834 0.054311 0.068697
2025-08-03 0.018718 0.022986 0.028242 0.035272 0.044557 0.056584 0.073647
2025-08-10 0.017671 0.022047 0.027543 0.035056 0.045224 0.058752 0.078533
2025-08-17 0.016791 0.021254 0.026960 0.034919 0.045937 0.060968 0.083584
2025-08-24 0.015873 0.020349 0.026164 0.034421 0.046087 0.062365 0.087508
2025-08-31 0.015000 0.019450 0.025319 0.033787 0.045977 0.063345 0.090833
2025-09-07 0.014329 0.018788 0.024751 0.033493 0.046308 0.064949 0.095174
2025-09-14 0.013733 0.018195 0.024242 0.033241 0.046666 0.066583 0.099648
2025-09-21 0.013062 0.017473 0.023524 0.032656 0.046501 0.067428 0.102950
2025-09-28 0.012735 0.017217 0.023450 0.033004 0.047758 0.070532 0.110183
2025-10-05 0.012324 0.016823 0.023155 0.032999 0.048457 0.072784 0.116145
2025-10-12 0.012049 0.016608 0.023107 0.033359 0.049736 0.076035 0.124081
2025-10-19 0.011637 0.016176 0.022716 0.033164 0.050106 0.077796 0.129500
2025-10-26 0.011247 0.015759 0.022327 0.032946 0.050418 0.079463 0.134862
2025-11-02 0.010886 0.015370 0.021963 0.032748 0.050740 0.081156 0.140392
2025-11-09 0.010565 0.015029 0.021656 0.032622 0.051171 0.083050 0.146447
2025-11-16 0.010181 0.014577 0.021161 0.032164 0.051005 0.083865 0.150443
2025-11-23 0.009788 0.014099 0.020606 0.031580 0.050586 0.084190 0.153473
2025-11-30 0.009489 0.013756 0.020248 0.031309 0.050697 0.085481 0.158566